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Nonlinear increase of compound drought-heatwave events since the early 2000s

期刊 Science advances
发表日期 2026-Mar-06
作者 Kim Yong-Jun; Yeh Sang-Wook; Wang Guojian; Ng Benjamin
DOI 10.1126/sciadv.aea3038
PMID 41790886
原始摘要

Compound drought-heatwave events (CDHEs) have substantially increased since the early 2000s, posing elevated risks to socio-ecosystems. However, the physical characteristics of drought- and heatwave-leading CDHEs and their relative contributions to the overall increase remain unexplored. Using a multihazard pair generation algorithm with daily reanalysis data, we show that this increase is primarily driven by heatwave-leading CDHEs, with the slope of increase in affected land area having risen nearly eightfold, from 1.6 to 13.1% per degree Celsius since the early 2000s. This pattern is evident at the global scale but also shows considerable regional variation. We find that the nonlinear amplification of land-atmosphere coupling since the late 1990s has not only induced the emergence of statistically significant positive sensitivities in previously unresponsive regions, but also markedly enhanced sensitivities in high-occurrence regions. These findings highlight the importance of considering the disproportionate regional risks associated with heatwave-leading CDHEs when adapting to climate change.

撤稿信息
撤稿日期 2026-Jul-24
撤稿期刊 Science advances
发布机构 United States
通知PMID 42490459
撤稿通知标题:
Editorial expression of concern
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研究领域
环境科学
文章类型
原创研究(Original Research)
研究方法
其他
数据来源
公开数据集(Open Dataset)
撤稿原因
无法确定
撤稿类型
关注声明(Expression of Concern)
研究机构
Department of Marine Science and Convergence Engineering, Hanyang University, Ansan 15588, South Korea; Frontier Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System (FDOMES) and Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, China; Laoshan Laboratory, Qingdao, China; Institute of Marine Science and Technology, Shandong University, Qingdao 266237, China; CSIRO Environment, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia
国家/地区
韩国; 中国; 美国
资助来源
未提及
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